Field Notes
It's a Crazy World Out There
Living in the Messiness
David Howe
Field Notes
Looking at the World with Wonder
Traversing the Liminal Space I have been struggling to find the words for what I am trying to say. I know times are rough; for many, the world looks dark. We feel left behind, crawling through the gloom, feeling for a path we think is forward, yet possessing no compass
The Modeler’s Lab
The Recovery That Doesn't Rehire
Executive Summary: The Structural Trap The Premise: We are entering a “Jobless Recovery” fueled by a forcing function we’ve seen thrice before: an economic contraction that permanently replaces routine labor with the technology of the previous boom. The Pattern: * The 88% Rule: Since the mid-1980s, nearly all routine
sense-making
Start Here – The Modeler’s Map
The Pattern is the Point Welcome to Fire in the Cave. If you’re here, you likely feel that the “official” version of reality—the headlines, the job market reports, the corporate AI hype—doesn’t quite match the ground-level reality you’re experiencing. I’m David Howe. For
Standing Wave
Taking Stock in a New AI World
How to Maneuver
AI
The AI Thread in War
A Timeline, A Mechanism, and a Question Nobody Is Asking
Quiet Quitting
Global Opt Out — The Economic Pattern
This is part 3 of the Global Opt Out Series. Part 1 and Part 2. The Economics The Math Has Been Stuck Since the 1990s From the last post, the Hikikomori, Sampo/N-po, NEET, and Quiet Quitters were introduced and some baseline characteristics. Why? The global opt-out cases
sense-making
The Global Pattern
NEET all around
n=1 experimentation
Tools I Use
The Fire in the Cave Stack
methodology
The Medium Is the Methodology
Announcing fireinthecave.com and fireinthecave.x
systemic illusions
Lying Flat
Sign of Things to Come?
pattern recognition
Signal in the Silence: Why You Miss Your Own Gorilla
A methodology for seeing what you don't even know to look for.